Latest Player Stats for Yankees vs Cubs - Sunday August 2, 2026

-130O/U: 6.5
(-110/-110)+110

Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Gerrit Cole’s high usage rate of his fastball (51.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
Spencer Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
Spencer Jones is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
The 9.7% Barrel% of the New York Yankees makes them the #2 group of hitters in the game this year by this metric.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+110)
Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Carson Kelly – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Carson Kelly’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.3-mph in the last two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
In today’s game, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.2% rate (99th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Chicago Cubs – Run Line +1.5 (-165)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
New York Yankees – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.00 Units / 23% ROI)

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