Explore Player Props Preview for Dodgers vs Phillies – 7/21/26

Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles Dodgers

@
Philadelphia Phillies logo

Philadelphia Phillies

+105O/U: 9
(+100/-120)
-125

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
    Out of all starting pitchers, Justin Wrobleski’s fastball spin rate of 2450 rpm ranks in the 85th percentile this year.
    Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
    The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the 3rd-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
    Compared to the average hurler, Zack Wheeler has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 5.3 adjusted pitches each outing.
    Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
  • Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
    Bryce Harper has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks.
    Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
  • Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
    Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

  • Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
    The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
    The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Trea Turner – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
    Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.70 Units / 76% ROI)