Get Insights on the Score Prediction for Pirates vs Guardians Match - Friday, July 17, 2026

+110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-130

Jared Jones – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
With 8 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jared Jones will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Henry Davis – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
Steven Kwan has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Gavin Williams – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)

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