
Tampa Bay Rays
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Kansas City Royals
-120O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)+100
(-110/-110)+100
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Ian Seymour – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)With 6 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Ian Seymour will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 20% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (+100)Among all the teams playing today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Starling Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)Extreme groundball bats like Starling Marte are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ian Seymour.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Kansas City Royals – 2H MoneylineThe Kansas City Royals bullpen profiles as the 2nd-worst in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.5 (+130)The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in their last 7 games (+9.45 Units / 135% ROI)
