
Texas Rangers
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Toronto Blue Jays
+130O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-150
(-105/-115)-150
Texas Rangers Insights
- MacKenzie Gore – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)MacKenzie Gore was in good form in his previous game started and posted 7 strikeouts.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Joc Pederson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-145)Tallying 92.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Kevin Gausman places him the 83rd percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19.6% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
