San Francisco Giants
@
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Landen Roupp – Over/Under StrikeoutsGiven that flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Landen Roupp (46.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Luis Arraez – Over/Under HitsWhen estimating his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Miami Marlins Insights
- Jakob Marsee – Over/Under HitsJakob Marsee is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Betting Trends
- Miami Marlins – MoneylineThe Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- San Francisco Giants – MoneylineThe San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 74% ROI)