
Seattle Mariners
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Washington Nationals
-135O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)Emerson Hancock was firing on all cylinders in his last start and gave up 0 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Julio Rodriguez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+130/-170)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 8th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Seattle Mariners bats collectively place 10th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 8.8% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Washington Nationals Insights
- Despite technically being the “starter” today, PJ Poulin may not pitch more than a couple innings consider he will be treated as more of an opener.Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
- Daylen Lile – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)James Wood has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 11th-shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colt Emerson – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+540/-950)Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.90 Units / 277% ROI)
