Dive Into the Head-to-Head Preview: Phillies vs Dodgers Matchup May 29, 2026

+100O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-120

Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)
Zack Wheeler has tallied 18.8 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 96th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Edmundo Sosa – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Edmundo Sosa has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 11.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Adolis Garcia, Kyle Schwarber, Steward Berroa).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Justin Wrobleski has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The 10% Barrel% of the Los Angeles Dodgers ranks them as the #4 group of hitters in the majors this year by this standard.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
Alec Bohm – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-135/+105)
Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.70 Units / 55% ROI)

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