Team Stats and Insights for Marlins vs Blue Jays Match Preview – 5/27/2026

Miami Marlins

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Toronto Blue Jays

Miami Marlins Insights

• Eury Perez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Eury Perez’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (53.5% this year) is likely hurting his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Otto Lopez – Over/Under Total Bases
  Otto Lopez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season’s 88.5-mph figure.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joe Mack, Kyle Stowers, Connor Norby).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  In his previous outing, Kevin Gausman performed well and notched 11 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Daulton Varsho tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen ranks as the 4th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.