Player Trends for Braves vs Dodgers – Friday, May 8th, 2026

Atlanta Braves

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Chris Sale – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
  Compared to the average starting pitcher, Chris Sale has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 6.9 adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Drake Baldwin has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 97.8-mph over the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  The Atlanta Braves bullpen grades out as the 4th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Emmet Sheehan has relied on his secondary offerings 5% more often this year (60.2%) than he did last year (55.2%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• Atlanta Braves – Run Line +1.0 (-150)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 39 of their last 50 away games (+30.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 28% ROI)