Marlins vs Dodgers Preview and Prediction - Tuesday April 28th, 2026

+245O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-290

Janson Junk – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Janson Junk today.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
When it comes to his batting average ability, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 15th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Otto Lopez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Dalton Rushing – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Dalton Rushing has big-time power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk doesn’t generate many whiffs (13th percentile K%) — great news for Rushing.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Los Angeles Dodgers in today’s game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .336, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .356 this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-280)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 38% ROI)

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