Get Recommended Player Prop Bets for Reds vs Rays – Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Cincinnati Reds

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Tampa Bay Rays

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brandon Williamson – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Williamson in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Nate Lowe – Over/Under Total Bases
  The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain, Eugenio Suarez, Rece Hinds).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-140)
  The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Williamson.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Tampa Bay Rays hitters as a unit rank 30th- in the league for power this year when using their 4.5% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (+115)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Rece Hinds – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Rece Hinds has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 39% ROI)