Examine the Cubs vs Phillies Prediction and Team Stats Analysis - Wednesday, April 15, 2026

+120O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-140

Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
Shota Imanaga has recorded 17.2 outs per game per started since the start of last season, placing in the 87th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Miguel Amaya – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Amaya has been lucky since the start of last season. His .357 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .274.
Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+120)
The 4th-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
Jesus Luzardo’s four-seam fastball percentage has fallen by 8.5% from last season to this one (33.9% to 25.4%) .
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Alec Bohm – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen projects as the 2nd-best in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+440/-700)
Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+7.30 Units / 183% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics