Dodgers vs Nationals Picks and Odds – April 04, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Washington Nationals

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Tyler Glasnow’s curveball percentage has increased by 8.1% from last year to this one (21.9% to 30%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under Total Bases
  Since the start of last season, Shohei Ohtani’s 23.5% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Jacob Young – Over/Under Total Bases
  Over the last week, Jacob Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 95.9 mph to 89 mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Brady House – Over/Under Total Bases
  Brady House has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Washington Nationals – Over/Under Team Total
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• Over/Under Game Total
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)