Read the Brewers vs Cubs Prediction and Game Breakdown – October 9th, 2025

Milwaukee Brewers

@

Chicago Cubs

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Matthew Boyd – Over/Under 9.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Matthew Boyd is projected to throw 69 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 14th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+100)
  The 2nd-weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 games at home (+17.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 130 games (+26.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+125/-160)
  Joseph Ortiz has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 75% ROI)