Get Betting Tips and Odds for Angels vs Royals – 9/4/2025

Los Angeles Angels

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Kansas City Royals

As the Kansas City Royals prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels on September 4, 2025, both teams find themselves in a tight spot in the standings. The Royals sit at 70-69, showing signs of an average season, while the Angels are struggling at 66-73, marking a below-average performance. In their last matchup, the Royals edged out the Angels, adding to the tension as they meet for the third game of the series.

On the mound, the Royals are projected to start Noah Cameron, who has had an impressive season with a 2.92 ERA, ranking him as the 120th best starting pitcher in MLB. However, his 4.32 xFIP suggests that he may have been a bit lucky, indicating potential regression. Cameron’s low strikeout rate of 19.0% could work in his favor against the Angels, who have the highest strikeout rate in MLB. Conversely, Kyle Hendricks takes the mound for the Angels with a 4.89 ERA and a concerning 15.3% strikeout rate, which may hinder his ability to exploit the Royals’ low strikeout offense.

Offensively, the Royals rank 24th in MLB, while the Angels are slightly better at 22nd. However, the Angels have demonstrated power with 194 home runs, ranking 6th in the league, which could be a factor against Cameron’s high-flyball tendencies. The Royals’ offense has struggled to generate consistent runs, and their ranking of 26th in home runs underscores their difficulties in producing power.

With a Game Total set at 9.0 runs, the Royals are favored with a moneyline of -155, suggesting confidence in their ability to secure victory at Kauffman Stadium. As both teams look to improve their standings, this matchup promises to be a critical one for both sides as they navigate the final stretch of the season.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-145)
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Hendricks is projected to throw 84 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of the day.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
  Luis Rengifo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Noah Cameron – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  Because of his reverse platoon split, Noah Cameron figures to be at an advantage facing 9 bats in the projected batting order of the opposite hand in this outing.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Kyle Isbel – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Kyle Isbel’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90-mph EV last year has dropped off to 86-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The Kansas City Royals have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 62 games at home (+22.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+130)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 102 games (+13.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Oswald Peraza – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+900/-2500)
  Oswald Peraza has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)