Discover the Betting Trends for Giants vs Rockies Game – Monday, September 1, 2025

San Francisco Giants

@

Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies prepare to host the San Francisco Giants on September 1, 2025, both teams are looking to improve their standings in the National League West. Currently, the Rockies sit at 39-98, enduring a dismal season, while the Giants are slightly above .500 at 68-69. The Rockies have been eliminated from division contention but are still in the hunt for a Wild Card spot. In their previous matchup, the Giants took a strong 7-3 win over the Rockies, further deepening Colorado’s struggles.

On the pitching front, both teams are set to start right-handed pitchers, with Chase Dollander projected for the Rockies and Kai-Wei Teng for the Giants. Dollander has not had the season he hoped for, owning a 2-11 record and a troubling ERA of 6.55. However, advanced projections suggest he may be due for some positive regression, as his xFIP stands at 4.83, indicating he has been somewhat unlucky. He faces a Giants lineup that has been patient at the plate, ranking 6th in MLB walks this season, which could exploit Dollander’s high walk rate of 11.0%.

Meanwhile, Teng has also struggled, holding an ERA of 8.78 with only a 1-3 record in just four starts. His low strikeout rate of 18.5% could work in his favor against a Rockies lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB for strikeouts. However, Teng’s control issues could allow Colorado’s hitters to become more aggressive.

The game total is set at 11.5 runs, highlighting expectations for a high-scoring contest. With the Rockies’ offense ranking 27th overall and the Giants’ offense at 25th, both teams are looking to break through offensively. Despite their struggles, the Giants enter as favorites with a moneyline of -140, while the Rockies are positioned as underdogs at +120. A win for Colorado could provide a much-needed boost in a season marked by disappointment.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)
  In his last start, Kai-Wei Teng gave up a staggering 5 earned runs.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Dominic Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Dominic Smith may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that the San Francisco Giants will score 6.56 runs on average in this game: the most of all teams playing today.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+110)
  Tallying 13.9 outs per outing this year on average, Chase Dollander places in the 7th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+180/-235)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.215) suggests that Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate this year with his .275 actual batting average.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Today’s version of the Rockies projected lineup is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .305 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .316 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 78 of their last 136 games (+13.25 Units / 8% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Matt Chapman – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+120/-155)
  Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)