Learn About White Sox vs Dodgers Picks and Betting Trends – Thursday July 03, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers (54-32) are enjoying a fantastic season and are positioned well in the standings as they face the struggling Chicago White Sox (28-57). The Dodgers, boasting the 1st best offense in MLB this year, will look to extend their advantage in this Interleague matchup at Dodger Stadium on July 3, 2025. In their previous game, the Dodgers took the first two games in the series, showcasing their dominance.

Dustin May, projected to start for Los Angeles, has had an average season with a record of 4-5 and an ERA of 4.68. However, he does project to pitch 5.3 innings, allowing an average of just 2.3 earned runs today, which bodes well against a White Sox offense that ranks 30th in MLB. May’s recent performance shows he has been capable of keeping the opposition in check, and he presents a favorable matchup against White Sox starter Aaron Civale.

Civale has struggled this season, with a disappointing 1-4 record and an ERA of 4.74. His projected performance tonight isn’t promising either, as he is expected to pitch only 4.8 innings, allowing an average of 3.2 earned runs. The projections suggest that the Dodgers could exploit Civale’s high-walk tendencies, especially considering their own patient approach at the plate, ranking 2nd in the league for walks.

Considering the discrepancies in team performance and the individual pitcher matchups, the Dodgers enter this game as strong betting favorites. With their powerful offense ready to capitalize on Civale’s weaknesses, expect the Dodgers to make a significant impact in this game.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Aaron Civale has utilized his four-seamer 5.4% more often this season (15.3%) than he did last season (9.9%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Mike Tauchman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Over the last 7 days, Mike Tauchman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox’ bullpen grades out as the worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-255)
  Dustin May was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  This season, Shohei Ohtani has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 101.3 mph compared to last year’s 99 mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Will Smith – Over/Under Total Bases
  Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 away games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Josh Rojas – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-150/+115)
  Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI)