Read Red Sox vs Angels Picks and Betting Odds – Tuesday June 24, 2025

Boston Red Sox

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Los Angeles Angels

The clash on June 24, 2025, features the Los Angeles Angels and the Boston Red Sox at Angel Stadium, marking the second game of their series. The Angels, at 38-40, are currently performing at an average level, while the Red Sox sit at 40-40, also finding themselves in the realm of mediocrity. The Angels should feel buoyed after their recent victory against the Red Sox, winning 9-5 just a day earlier.

Tyler Anderson, the projected starter for the Angels, has struggled this season, evidenced by his 2-5 record and ranking as the 214th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. Despite having an average ERA of 4.56, his 5.13 FIP suggests he has been somewhat fortunate on the mound. Anderson’s low strikeout rate of 18.2% could be a concern against a Red Sox lineup that ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts.

On the other hand, Garrett Crochet takes the mound for Boston, boasting an impressive 7-4 record and an elite 2.20 ERA. With a strikeout rate of 30.8%, Crochet stands as one of the most effective pitchers in the league and is expected to limit the Angels’ powerful offense, which has produced 114 home runs this year, ranking them 3rd in MLB. However, their batters have also struggled at times, highlighted by their 29th place ranking in team batting average.

Despite the Angels’ home run prowess, they find themselves as underdogs with a current moneyline of +145. The projections suggest they have a low implied team total of 3.54 runs, reflecting the tough matchup against Crochet. Meanwhile, Boston’s offense ranks 9th in MLB and is projected to score around 4.46 runs today, making them the favorites for this contest.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Garrett Crochet – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Garrett Crochet’s four-seam fastball percentage has decreased by 11.8% from last year to this one (53.7% to 41.9%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Marcelo Mayer has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 97-mph over the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Boston Red Sox today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .311, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .322 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Tyler Anderson – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Tyler Anderson’s 88.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.2-mph decrease from last year’s 89.5-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Bats such as Mike Trout with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Garrett Crochet who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen grades out as the worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+145)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-135)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 75 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+135/-175)
  Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 62% ROI)