Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers
(-110/-110)-110
In a pivotal Interleague matchup, the Detroit Tigers will host the Chicago Cubs at Comerica Park on June 8, 2025. Both teams are enjoying strong seasons, with the Tigers holding a record of 42-24 and the Cubs at 40-24. However, the Tigers are coming off a disappointing 6-1 loss to the Cubs in their last game on June 7, while the Cubs look to build momentum from that victory.
The matchup features two right-handed pitchers: Jack Flaherty for the Tigers and Cade Horton for the Cubs. Flaherty, ranked as the 60th best starting pitcher in MLB according to the leading MLB projection system, has had an up-and-down season with a Win/Loss record of 4-6 and a solid ERA of 3.72. In his last outing on June 2, he pitched well, going 6 innings and allowing just 1 earned run. Flaherty is projected to strike out 6.3 batters today, which could be crucial against a Cubs lineup that has hit 88 home runs this season, ranking 5th in MLB.
On the other hand, Horton has started only 5 games this year and maintains a perfect 3-0 record despite being considered a below-average pitcher. His ERA stands at 4.21, and projections indicate he may struggle today, averaging just 4.7 innings pitched and allowing 4.3 hits, both of which are concerns against a potent Tigers offense that ranks 8th in the league.
While both teams have strong bullpens—the Tigers ranking 2nd and the Cubs 25th—Detroit’s offensive depth might give them the edge in this contest. With the game’s total set at 8.0 runs, bettors might find value in considering the Tigers to bounce back after their recent loss.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Cade Horton – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Out of all SPs, Cade Horton’s fastball spin rate of 2504 rpm ranks in the 92nd percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Ian Happ has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 81.7-mph in the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.5% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-125)Jack Flaherty is an extreme flyball pitcher (34% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #23 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Javier Baez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Horton.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- The Detroit Tigers have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125/-160)The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+12.63 Units / 17% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-110)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Colt Keith – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+110/-140)Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)