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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-305).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -310 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -305.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • Tony Pollard's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 74.3% to 86.0%.
  • The opposing side have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.64 per game) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 62.1 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Among all running backs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 85th percentile for red zone carries this year, making up 50.0% of the volume in his team's ground game near the end zone.
  • With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard ranks as one of the pass-catching RBs with the lowest volume near the goal line in football.
  • With a lousy rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Tony Pollard rates among the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to running backs this year.
  • This year, the formidable Jaguars defense has given up a mere 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-best rate in the league.

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