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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+255/-345).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -380 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -345.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in these cases has been the Titans.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • Tony Pollard's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 74.3% to 87.6%.
  • This year, the imposing Seahawks run defense has surrendered a paltry 0.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.
  • With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard stands among the pass-catching RBs with the least usage near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Tony Pollard's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 18.1.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Tony Pollard's player page this year.

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