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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-265).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
  • When it comes to air yards, Tony Pollard grades out in the towering 78th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating an astounding 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • Tony Pollard's 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 74.2% figure.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Tony Pollard stands as one of the pass-catching RBs with the lowest volume near the end zone in the league.
  • Tony Pollard's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.
  • With a terrible ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Tony Pollard has been as one of the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to RBs this year.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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