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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Titans to be the 9th-most run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
  • In this contest, Tony Pollard is projected by the projection model to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.1 rush attempts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tony Pollard to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this contest (48.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (67.5% in games he has played).
  • Tony Pollard has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (46.0) this season than he did last season (62.0).
  • This year, the stout Houston Texans run defense has allowed a mere 89.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-best in football.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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