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Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-172/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -192 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • Tony Pollard's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 74.3% to 87.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.
  • Tony Pollard's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 18.1.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.1%) to running backs this year (75.1%).
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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