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Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Tony Pollard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/+119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.

Tony Pollard's 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 74.2% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

Tony Pollard's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.

This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has surrendered a mere 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in football.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Houston's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL.

More Tony Pollard Player Props

Tony Pollard ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Tony Pollard Receptions
Player Prop Week 11