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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Accounting for a lowly 0.0% of his team's red zone carries this year (3rd percentile among QBs), Sam Darnold's one-dimensionality makes him no threat as a ball-carrier near the goal line.
  • With a terrific 68.3% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands among the most accurate QBs in the NFL.
  • With a very bad ratio of just 0.00 rushing touchdowns per game (2nd percentile), Sam Darnold has been among the weakest running QBs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (50.2% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).

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