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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • With a terrific 68.3% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands among the most accurate QBs in the NFL.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Commanders defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the poor Commanders defense has given up a whopping 1.88 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 49.8% red zone pass rate.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).

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