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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 7th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 45.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to notch 2.3 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • Sam Darnold has been a much smaller part of his offense's run game this season (3.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.9%).
  • The Commanders linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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