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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1650/-2400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the most touchdowns through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.64 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 49.8% red zone run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).
  • After averaging 13.0 air yards per game last year, Mo Alie-Cox has seen a big decrease this year, currently boasting 5.0 per game.

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