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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Josh Allen's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.7% to 70.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 9th-least pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by the model to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.0.

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