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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Hunter Henry to garner 4.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among TEs.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 5-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Hunter Henry's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 44.2.

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