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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.

The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

With a remarkable 58.0% Snap% (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Chuba Hubbard has been among the RBs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (84.3%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (84.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 4th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (54.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, Chuba Hubbard ranks in the paltry 16th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing just -2.0 per game.

The Panthers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Chuba Hubbard's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 89.0% to 78.9%.

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