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Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

Chuba Hubbard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal approach.

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Panthers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league last year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

With an extraordinary 8.5% Target% (75th percentile) last year, Chuba Hubbard stands among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.7% pass rate.

Chuba Hubbard has accrued a puny -2.0 air yards per game last year: just 17th percentile among running backs.

The Carolina O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) versus running backs last year.

Last year, the tough Saints defense has allowed a paltry 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

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