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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-280/+215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -280.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal approach.

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Panthers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league last year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.7% pass rate.

The Carolina O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Bryce Young comes in as one of the worst precision passers in the league last year with a 59.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 6th percentile.

Bryce Young has been one of the worst touchdown throwers in the NFL last year, averaging a terrible 0.69 per game while grading out in the 21st percentile.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the NFL versus the Saints defense last year (63.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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