Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2026

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 6, 2026

Updated May 7, 2026 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-119/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has put up 19.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's put up over the course of the year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a good matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to 3-point attempts.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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