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Kessler Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Kessler Edwards has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the NBA (19th percentile).This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a strong matchup.The Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).In contrast to last year's 60.0% rate, Kessler Edwards's foul-shot prowess has jumped this year to 100.0%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Kessler Edwards lands in the 4th percentile, totaling a measly 1.3 points per game this year.Among all players in the league, Kessler Edwards places in the 13th percentile for playing time, logging just 8.5 minutes per game this year.In terms of shooting, the Mavericks's poor 111.3 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.The 7th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.The matchup vs. the Kings may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
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