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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/9/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 73.8% of his shots from the field on his home court this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Mavericks have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.5 free throws per game (83rd percentile).

Dereck Lively II will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA while on their home court over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The matchup against Deandre Ayton is a difficult one; he has given up just 10.7 points per game when playing away from home when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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