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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has converted 81.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in plays today from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II is expected to see an increase in output in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II measures in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year.

In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a difficult one for shots from the field; when Allen is playing on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a mere 45.9% of their field goal attempts (3rd percentile).

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game (10th percentile).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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