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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II slots into the 95th percentile for scoring performance while playing away from home with a remarkable 65.0% rate this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has made 0.0% of his shots from downtown without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.

Dereck Lively II has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.

When playing at home and facing fellow starting Cs, Kevon Looney slots into the 4th percentile with just 0.7 shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against him per game this year.

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

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