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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/10/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 66.3% of his shot attempts from the field away from his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

The rate of treys made against Isaiah Hartenstein has been quite high (62.5%) when he is playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile).

The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Mavericks rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Isaiah Hartenstein has been very high since the start of last season (5.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are on the road: 100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II slots into the 5th percentile for 3-point performance away from his home court with a weak 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.9 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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