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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 77.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's converted overall this year.

When it comes to offense, the Mavericks's excellent 118.6 points per game settles in as the 7th-most in the league this year.

The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a good one for 3-point shots; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 43.0% of their attempts from downtown (100th percentile).

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 7th percentile for three-point ability on the road with a a feeble 0.0% rate this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II measures in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The clash with Jakob Poeltl in regard to getting to the charity stripe slots into the 17th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year when they are on the away squad.

Dereck Lively II will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production for all stats.

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