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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has converted 5.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted in all games this year on the road.

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 118.1 points per game comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA this year.

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 39.8% higher than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The matchup against Clint Capela is a difficult one for three-pointers; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have tallied just 0.3 3-point shots per game (7th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II will likely see a decline in efficiency for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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