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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Assists
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Dereck Lively II Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league while playing at home with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

This year when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra chances for offense).

Dereck Lively II is expected to see an increase in production across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.9 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

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