{"id":9822,"date":"2024-07-13T05:33:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-13T09:33:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/score-updates-for-mariners-vs-angels-7-13-24\/"},"modified":"2024-07-13T21:32:03","modified_gmt":"2024-07-14T01:32:03","slug":"score-updates-for-mariners-vs-angels-7-13-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/score-updates-for-mariners-vs-angels-7-13-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Score Updates for Mariners vs Angels &#8211; 7\/13\/24"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SEA.png\" alt=\"Seattle Mariners logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Seattle Mariners<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAA.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Angels logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Angels<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-145<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>+125<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners continue their American League West series on July 13, 2024, at Angel Stadium. The Angels are struggling this season, holding a 39-55 record, while the Mariners are performing above average with a 52-44 record. Notably, the Angels eked out a close 6-5 victory over the Mariners yesterday, despite being underdogs with a +120 moneyline.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound, the Angels are set to start Jose Soriano, who has a solid ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.87<\/a> and ranks as the 45th best starting pitcher in MLB. Soriano has had a mixed season with a 4-7 Win\/Loss record over 13 starts. He is projected to pitch 5.2 innings and allow 2.3 earned runs today, which bodes well for the Angels. However, his projections also suggest he will allow 4.6 hits and 2.0 walks, showing some areas of concern.<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners counter with George Kirby, who has been excellent this season with a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">3.39<\/a> ERA and is ranked 14th among starting pitchers. His Win\/Loss record stands at 7-6 over 19 starts. Kirby&#8217;s performance metrics are particularly impressive; his 2.87 FIP indicates some bad luck, suggesting he could perform even better going forward. Projections have him pitching 5.8 innings and allowing 2.4 earned runs, which matches up well against the Angels&#8217; struggling offense.<\/p>\n<p>Offensively, the Angels are ranked 23rd overall and have shown some flashes of power, ranking 15th in home runs. However, they struggle with consistency, evidenced by their 20th place in team batting average. Taylor Ward leads the team, having played in 91 games and hit <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/home-runs\">14<\/a> home runs this season.<\/p>\n<p>The Mariners&#8217; hitting has been notably poor, with a 27th overall offensive ranking and a dismal 29th in team batting average. However, they show power potential, ranking 10th in home runs. Julio Rodriguez has been their standout player, hitting <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/batting-average\">.264<\/a> with <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/stolen-bases\">18<\/a> stolen bases over 95 games.<\/p>\n<p>While the Mariners are favorites with a -160 moneyline, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives the Angels a 47% chance of winning, suggesting value in betting on the underdogs. With a low Game Total set at 7.5 runs, expect a tightly contested matchup, potentially decided by bullpen performances late in the game.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Seattle Mariners Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>George Kirby &#8211; Over\/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+150\/-195)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Recording 17.6 outs per start this year on average, George Kirby places in the 86th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jorge Polanco &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-165\/+125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Mitch Garver &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% \u2014 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball&#8217;s 10th-deepest LF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Angels Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jose Soriano &#8211; Over\/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jose Soriano&#8217;s high usage rate of his fastball (57.1% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Mickey Moniak &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Mickey Moniak will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e.  over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mickey Moniak, Keston Hiura, Jo Adell).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts <\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Angels &#8211; Run Line +1.5 (-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.95 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.75 Units \/ 35% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Taylor Ward &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Walks (+205\/-275)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units \/ 38% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.8.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners continue their American League West series on July 13, 2024, at Angel Stadium. The Angels are struggling this season, holding a 39-55 record,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9823,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,271,264,259,257,370,266,261,268,355,38,273,267,270,30,37,73,263,272,4,262,260,258,269,469],"class_list":["post-9822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-george-kirby","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-jose-soriano","tag-julio-rodriguez","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-los-angeles-angels","tag-mitch-haniger","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-seattle-mariners","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather","tag-willie-calhoun"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Score Updates for Mariners vs Angels - 7\/13\/24 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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