{"id":98048,"date":"2025-03-31T04:47:02","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T08:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/braves-vs-dodgers-betting-guide-3-31-25\/"},"modified":"2025-03-31T22:13:03","modified_gmt":"2025-04-01T02:13:03","slug":"braves-vs-dodgers-betting-guide-3-31-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/braves-vs-dodgers-betting-guide-3-31-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Braves vs Dodgers Betting Guide &#8211; 3\/31\/25"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Atlanta Braves logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Atlanta Braves<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+190<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-105\/-115)<\/span><span>-220<\/span><\/div>\n<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Atlanta Braves at Dodger Stadium on March 31, 2025, marking the start of a new series between these two National League rivals. Currently, the Dodgers are riding high with a perfect 5-0 record this season, showcasing their elite talent, while the Braves are struggling at 0-4, looking to find their footing. <\/p>\n<p>In their last outings, the Dodgers secured a convincing 7-3 victory on March 29, extending their winning streak, while the Braves suffered a shutout loss, falling 5-0, indicating a rough start to their campaign. The Dodgers\u2019 offense ranks as the 2nd best in MLB, scoring at will, and they\u2019ll be looking to capitalize on their powerful lineup against Braves&#8217; starting pitcher Grant Holmes, who has yet to find his rhythm this season.<\/p>\n<p>Tyler Glasnow, projected to start for Los Angeles, is rated as the 8th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, making him a tough matchup for the Braves. Glasnow\u2019s recent performance included 7 innings pitched with only 2 earned runs in his last outing, proving he can handle pressure well. On the other hand, Grant Holmes, despite an impressive 0.00 ERA, has struggled with consistency, starting no games this season and having a poor track record against high-strikeout offenses like the Dodgers.<\/p>\n<p>With the Dodgers heavily favored, holding a moneyline of -225, they boast an implied team total of 4.77 runs, while the Braves sit at a mere 3.23 runs. Given the current trends and matchups, expect the Dodgers to use their offensive power to push their winning streak to six games.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Atlanta Braves Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Atlanta Braves &#8211;  1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">In his previous game started, Grant Holmes was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Marcell Ozuna &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna&#8217;s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 99th percentile at 98.2 mph.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs.  This is a strong indicator of power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Ozzie Albies &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% \u2014 97th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball&#8217;s 8th-deepest RF fences in today&#8217;s matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Tyler Glasnow &#8211; Over\/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Tallying 18.3 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Tyler Glasnow ranks in the 96th percentile.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Andy Pages &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125\/-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">As it relates to his home runs, Andy Pages has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season.  His 17.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)&#8217;s version of Statcast-based Expected HR\/600 at 25.5.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player&#8217;s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Los Angeles Dodgers &#8211;  Moneyline (-220)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 76 games (+25.95 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105\/-115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 150 games (+39.90 Units \/ 24% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Andy Pages &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+500\/-850)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units \/ 71% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.4.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Atlanta Braves at Dodger Stadium on March 31, 2025, marking the start of a new series between these two National League rivals. Currently,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":98049,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[337,10,283,286,287,289,288,284,285,574,8,292,73,282,444,281,543],"class_list":["post-98048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-andy-pages","tag-atlanta-braves","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-grant-holmes","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-marcell-ozuna","tag-mlb","tag-odds","tag-ozzie-albies","tag-picks","tag-tyler-glasnow"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Braves vs Dodgers Betting Guide - 3\/31\/25 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on March 31, 2025. 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