{"id":93491,"date":"2024-10-18T00:39:03","date_gmt":"2024-10-18T04:39:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/dodgers-vs-mets-betting-guide-10-18-24\/"},"modified":"2024-10-18T17:02:02","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T21:02:02","slug":"dodgers-vs-mets-betting-guide-10-18-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/dodgers-vs-mets-betting-guide-10-18-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Dodgers vs Mets Betting Guide &#8211; 10\/18\/24"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/LAD.png\" alt=\"Los Angeles Dodgers logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/NYM.png\" alt=\"New York Mets logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>New York Mets<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>-135<\/span><span>O\/U: 7.5<br \/>(+100\/-120)<\/span><span>+115<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers clash at Citi Field on October 18, 2024, anticipation is running high for this pivotal Game 5 in their National League Championship Series matchup. With the Dodgers holding the 1st rank in MLB offense and the Mets sitting comfortably at 9th, spectators are in for a thrilling showdown.<\/p>\n<p>The Mets are pegged as underdogs in this contest, boasting an implied win probability of 44% with a moneyline of +115. They face a Dodgers team projected to win with a 56% likelihood, according to current betting odds. With the series tied, and both teams eyeing a crucial lead, the Mets are banking on David Peterson, ranking 116th in starting pitchers, to counter the Dodgers&#8217; powerful lineup. Despite Peterson&#8217;s stellar 2.90 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>, there&#8217;s concern over a high 4.10 xFIP that hints at potential regression, which could spell trouble against the Dodger&#8217;s MLB-best home run hitters.<\/p>\n<p>On the mound for Los Angeles, Jack Flaherty brings his above-average prowess\u2014ranked 69th among starters\u2014with a strong 3.17 <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">ERA<\/a>. His ability to limit walks could nullify a key strength of the Mets, who rank 6th in drawing walks. Facing off against a Mets team with an impressive 4th ranking in home runs, Flaherty aims to keep the ball in the park and the Mets in check.<\/p>\n<p>With the leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, forecasting tight performances from both pitchers, Flaherty\u2019s ability to strike out 6.2 batters on average today might play a pivotal role. The Mets, offensively strong yet challenged against elite pitching, will need Mark Vientos to maintain his hot streak, demonstrated by a .278 average and two homers in the last week.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Los Angeles Dodgers Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jack Flaherty &#8211; Over\/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+135\/-170)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage over 7 opposing hitters in this matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Max Muncy &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105\/-125)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Max Muncy is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of New York (#2-best on the slate today).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team&#8217;s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Mookie Betts &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130\/-165)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% \u2014 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he&#8217;ll be hitting out towards the league&#8217;s shallowest CF fences in today&#8217;s game.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">New York Mets Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211;  Moneyline (+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Starling Marte &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Starling Marte is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong><\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The New York Mets (22.6% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams on the slate today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> THE BAT X analyzes each player in today&#8217;s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>New York Mets &#8211; Moneyline (+115)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+17.90 Units \/ 13% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Over\/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100\/-120)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 97 games (+24.65 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Mark Vientos &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+370\/-570)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Mark Vientos has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units \/ 52% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"2.4.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"BETTING\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers clash at Citi Field on October 18, 2024, anticipation is running high for this pivotal Game 5 in their National League&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":93492,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,285,8,73,33,282,281],"class_list":["post-93491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-expert-picks","tag-los-angeles-dodgers","tag-mlb","tag-new-york-mets","tag-odds","tag-picks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dodgers vs Mets Betting Guide - 10\/18\/24 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets on October 18, 2024. 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