{"id":84016,"date":"2024-09-22T03:24:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-22T07:24:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/get-tickets-information-for-d-backs-vs-brewers-9-22-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-09-22T21:13:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T01:13:03","slug":"get-tickets-information-for-d-backs-vs-brewers-9-22-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/get-tickets-information-for-d-backs-vs-brewers-9-22-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Get Tickets Information for D-Backs vs Brewers – 9\/22\/2024"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Arizona<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"Milwaukee<\/p>\n

Milwaukee Brewers<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
+120<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-140<\/span><\/div>\n

As the National League playoff race heats up, the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks continue their series on September 22, 2024. The Brewers, with an 88-67 record, hold a narrow lead over the D-Backs, who sit at 87-68. With both teams jockeying for postseason positioning, this matchup at American Family Field carries significant weight.<\/p>\n

The Brewers will look to bounce back after being shut out 5-0 by the Diamondbacks on September 21. Frankie Montas is set to take the mound for Milwaukee, boasting a 4.50 ERA<\/a>, which places him around average in the league. Though Montas’s record this season is 7-11, his ranking as the 93rd best pitcher out of about 350 suggests he has potential to hold his own. However, Montas has struggled with control, giving the patient D-Backs lineup, ranked 5th in walks, an opportunity to capitalize.<\/p>\n

On the other side, the Diamondbacks will counter with Jordan Montgomery. Though his 6.23 ERA<\/a> is concerning, his xFIP of 4.74 indicates he’s been somewhat unlucky. Montgomery\u2019s appearances have been split between starting and bullpen duties, and he’ll aim to stifle a Brewers offense that ranks 9th in batting average and features power threats like Willy Adames.<\/p>\n

The Brewers are slight favorites, with a moneyline reflecting a 55% implied win probability, and THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, aligns closely, projecting their win probability at 53%. The Brewers are also projected to score 4.62 runs, compared to Arizona’s 4.53. This close matchup could hinge on bullpen performance, where Arizona holds the edge with the top-ranked bullpen compared to Milwaukee’s 16th.<\/p>\n

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Jordan Montgomery – Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115\/-150)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jordan Montgomery’s 91.1-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.5-mph decline from last year’s 92.6-mph figure.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Eugenio Suarez – Over\/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165\/+130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Milwaukee’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Eugenio Suarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Arizona Diamondbacks’ bullpen projects as the best among all major league teams.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Milwaukee Brewers Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Frankie Montas – Over\/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (+105\/-135)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Compared to the average pitcher, Frankie Montas has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 4.5 adjusted pitches each outing.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Brice Turang – Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-155\/+120)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Brice Turang has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jackson Chourio – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% \u2014 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 78 of their last 151 games (+9.50 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 76 games (+26.30 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Pavin Smith – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+600\/-1100)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Pavin Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 away games (+19.30 Units \/ 107% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        As the National League playoff race heats up, the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks continue their series on September 22, 2024. The Brewers, with an 88-67 record, hold a narrow… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84017,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[20,265,421,75,201,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,521,144,273,267,270,22,73,263,272,262,260,258,269],"class_list":["post-84016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-arizona-diamondbacks","tag-boxscore","tag-brice-turang","tag-eugenio-suarez","tag-frankie-montas","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-jackson-chourio","tag-jordan-montgomery","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-milwaukee-brewers","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather"],"yoast_head":"\nGet Tickets Information for D-Backs vs Brewers - 9\/22\/2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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