{"id":82862,"date":"2024-09-21T06:16:02","date_gmt":"2024-09-21T10:16:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/how-to-watch-white-sox-vs-padres-saturday-september-21-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-09-21T23:15:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-22T03:15:03","slug":"how-to-watch-white-sox-vs-padres-saturday-september-21-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/how-to-watch-white-sox-vs-padres-saturday-september-21-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Watch White Sox vs Padres &#8211; Saturday, September 21, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"eva_article_wrap\">\n<div class=\"eva_team_logos\">\n<div class=\"eva_away_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/CWS.png\" alt=\"Chicago White Sox logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>Chicago White Sox<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_matchup_symbol\">@<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_home_team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/images\/mlb\/SD.png\" alt=\"San Diego Padres logo\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>San Diego Padres<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"eva_odds\"><span>+250<\/span><span>O\/U: 8<br \/>(-110\/-110)<\/span><span>-300<\/span><\/div>\n<p>As September 21, 2024, approaches, the San Diego Padres find themselves in a comfortable position, having secured an impressive 88-66 record. With a strong likelihood of making a postseason run, they aim to continue their winning ways against the struggling Chicago White Sox. The Padres have demonstrated their prowess with the 5th-best offense in MLB, boasting the top team batting average and ranking 10th in home runs. Their robust offensive lineup is complemented by the 2nd-best bullpen, according to advanced Power Rankings.<\/p>\n<p>In stark contrast, the White Sox have endured a dismal season with a 36-118 record. Their offense ranks dead last in multiple categories, including team batting average and home runs. The White Sox&#8217;s bullpen struggles mirror their offensive woes, sitting at 29th in MLB.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres will send Martin Perez, a left-handed pitcher, to the mound. Despite a middling 4-5 record and an ERA of <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">4.36<\/a>, Perez&#8217;s peripheral stats suggest some luck has been in play. His xERA of 5.36 indicates potential regression. Meanwhile, Chris Flexen takes the hill for Chicago. Flexen has had a challenging season, with a 2-14 record and a <a href=\"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/mlb\/player-stats\/earned-run-average\">5.09<\/a> ERA. His projections for this matchup are similarly bleak, with high hit and run allowances anticipated.<\/p>\n<p>THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, views the Padres as clear favorites, assigning them a 67% chance of victory. This aligns closely with betting markets, which imply a 71% win probability for San Diego. The Padres are projected to score 5.38 runs on average, while the White Sox are expected to muster just 3.90 runs.<\/p>\n<p>The Padres aim to capitalize on their offensive advantages and the White Sox&#8217;s pitching vulnerabilities. With a massive favorite status, San Diego looks poised to continue their march towards October baseball, while Chicago&#8217;s season winds down with little to celebrate.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Chicago White Sox Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chris Flexen &#8211; Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Chris Flexen&#8217;s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (63.4% compared to 54.5% last year) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Bryan Ramos &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Hits (-175\/+135)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Bryan Ramos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market.  A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago White Sox &#8211;  2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">The Chicago White Sox bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game&#8217;s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">San Diego Padres Insights<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Martin Perez &#8211; Over\/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100\/-130)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Martin Perez\u2019s fastball velocity over his last 3 games started (89.2 mph) has been considerably slower than than his seasonal rate (90.2 mph).<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Fernando Tatis Jr. &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96.5-mph over the past week.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Jackson Merrill &#8211; Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0;\">Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% \u2014 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball&#8217;s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\"><small><em><strong>Explain:<\/strong> This player&#8217;s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he&#8217;s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 3rem 0 0 0;\">Betting Trends<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>San Diego Padres &#8211; Moneyline (-300)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games (+14.05 Units \/ 17% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Chicago White Sox &#8211; Over\/Under 2.5 Team Total (-140\/+110)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.15 Units \/ 14% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.75rem 0;\"><strong>Manny Machado &#8211; Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+390\/-600)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; margin: 0.25rem 0 1.5rem;\">Manny Machado has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 47 games (+25.20 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<form><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-page-group\" name=\"ga-page-group\" value=\"GAME PREVIEW\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-sport\" name=\"ga-sport\" \"value=\"mlb\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-id\" name=\"ga-title-id\"value=\"3.2.1\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-group\" name=\"ga-title-group\" value=\"GAME INFO\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ga-title-cta\" name=\"ga-title-cta\" value=\"0\"><\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As September 21, 2024, approaches, the San Diego Padres find themselves in a comfortable position, having secured an impressive 88-66 record. With a strong likelihood of making a postseason run,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":82863,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[265,19,383,271,264,259,257,266,261,268,97,273,267,270,199,73,263,21,272,262,260,258,269,778],"class_list":["post-82862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-boxscore","tag-chicago-white-sox","tag-chris-flexen","tag-game-highlights","tag-game-location","tag-game-recap","tag-game-time","tag-how-to-watch","tag-injuries","tag-injury-report","tag-jackson-merrill","tag-live-score","tag-live-stream","tag-live-updates","tag-martin-perez","tag-mlb","tag-official-lineup","tag-san-diego-padres","tag-score","tag-starting-lineup","tag-tickets","tag-tv-channel","tag-weather","tag-zach-deloach"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How to Watch White Sox vs Padres - Saturday, September 21, 2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stay updated on game time, how to watch, live stream, injury report, starting lineups, weather, and live updates. 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