{"id":81760,"date":"2024-09-20T05:40:03","date_gmt":"2024-09-20T09:40:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/uncategorized\/get-betting-tips-and-odds-for-guardians-vs-cardinals-9-20-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-09-20T20:03:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-21T00:03:03","slug":"get-betting-tips-and-odds-for-guardians-vs-cardinals-9-20-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/evanalytics.com\/articles\/mlb-game-previews\/get-betting-tips-and-odds-for-guardians-vs-cardinals-9-20-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Get Betting Tips and Odds for Guardians vs Cardinals – 9\/20\/2024"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\"Cleveland<\/p>\n

Cleveland Guardians<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
@<\/div>\n
\"St.<\/p>\n

St. Louis Cardinals<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
-105<\/span>O\/U: 8
(-110\/-110)<\/span>-115<\/span><\/div>\n

As the Cleveland Guardians visit the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on September 20, 2024, there’s a lot on the line for both teams. The Guardians, with an impressive 89-65 record, are having a great season and are in the thick of the playoff race. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, sitting at 77-76, are having an average season and looking to finish strong.<\/p>\n

The pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals and Ben Lively for the Guardians. Gibson, ranked #156 among approximately 350 MLB starting pitchers according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, has been somewhat fortunate this season. His ERA of 4.11<\/a> is better than his 4.73 xERA, suggesting he might regress. On the flip side, Lively’s ERA of 3.87<\/a> is solid, but his 4.51 xFIP indicates he too has been pitching above expectations. <\/p>\n

Offensively, both teams are fairly evenly matched. The Cardinals rank 18th in overall offense, with a notable 13th in team batting average, while the Guardians are right behind them at 19th overall but boast a top-5 rank in stolen bases, adding a dynamic element to their game. The Cardinals’ Brendan Donovan has been swinging a hot bat, hitting .370 with a 1.026 OPS over the past week, while the Guardians’ Kyle Manzardo has impressed with a .500 average and 1.571 OPS in his last five games.<\/p>\n

The Cardinals hold a slight edge according to THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, which gives them a 53% chance to win, slightly above their implied probability. This sets the stage for a close contest, with both teams keen to capitalize on any edge they can find. With playoff implications looming, it’s a game neither team can afford to take lightly.<\/p>\n

Cleveland Guardians Insights<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n
    Ben Lively – Over\/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120\/-155)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Ben Lively’s 2007-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 1st percentile among all SPs.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Jose Ramirez – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110\/-145)<\/strong><\/div>\n
    Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of St. Louis (#3-best on the slate).<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
  • \n
    Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline<\/strong><\/div>\n
    According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cleveland Guardians’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-best among all teams in the majors.<\/div>\n
    Explain:<\/strong> Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    St. Louis Cardinals Insights<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • \n
      Kyle Gibson – Over\/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135\/+105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Recording 92.9 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Kyle Gibson places him the 79th percentile.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Jordan Walker – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145\/-190)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Jordan Walker has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n
    • \n
      Nolan Arenado – Over\/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140\/-185)<\/strong><\/div>\n
      Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.8% \u2014 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.<\/div>\n
      Explain:<\/strong> This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.<\/em><\/small><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Betting Trends<\/h3>\n
        \n
      • \n
        Over\/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110\/-110)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-105)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 154 games (+12.82 Units \/ 6% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n
      • \n
        Brayan Rocchio – Over\/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1200\/-7000)<\/strong><\/div>\n
        Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 14 games (+11.50 Units \/ 82% ROI)<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
        <\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        As the Cleveland Guardians visit the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on September 20, 2024, there’s a lot on the line for both teams. The Guardians, with an impressive… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81761,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[283,286,287,289,288,284,6,285,724,123,346,73,153,282,281,17],"class_list":["post-81760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb-game-previews","tag-bets","tag-betting-guide","tag-betting-line","tag-betting-odds","tag-betting-tips","tag-betting-trends","tag-cleveland-guardians","tag-expert-picks","tag-jordan-walker","tag-josh-naylor","tag-kyle-gibson","tag-mlb","tag-nolan-arenado","tag-odds","tag-picks","tag-st-louis-cardinals"],"yoast_head":"\nGet Betting Tips and Odds for Guardians vs Cardinals - 9\/20\/2024 - WriteNow\u2122 by EV Analytics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore our expert betting tips and picks for Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals on September 20, 2024. 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